Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26

Several of this website’s blogs have noted the S&P 500 (SPX) had potentially significant Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48.  On 01/07/26 SPX peaked at 6,965.69.

The 30- minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action.

The presumed Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle from the 11/21/25 bottom could be complete.  The 30 – minute RSI bearish divergence at the 01/07/26 SPX peak supports this theory.

However, fifth waves of Ending Diagonal Triangles typically have a brief throwover of the trendline connecting the third and fifth waves.   In this case the presumed Minute wave [v] has peaked below the trendline.

At 8:30 AM – EST on 01/09/26 the monthly U.S. Non-Farm Payroll report is released.  It’s possible this data could trigger a rally above the trendline. 

A move below the 01/02/26 bottom at 6,824.31 could be a very bearish signal.

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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