Watch the Nasdaq Composite on 10/10/25

At the open of the main trading session on 10/09/25 both the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) and S&P 500 (SPX) made new all-time highs then quickly declined.   The other main U.S. stock index, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) lagged below its all-time high made on 10/03/25. 

It’s possible that on 10/10/25 only the IXIC could reach a new all-time high.

The 15 – minute SPX and IXIC chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates their intraday action.

At the end of the 10/09/25 trading session IXIC had retraced 77% of its intraday decline.  SPX had retraced only 39%.   It’s possible on 10/10/25 – IXIC could reach an all-time high with SPX failing to reach a new high.

If so, where could SPX find resistance?

The 15 – minute SPX chart shows a potential developing Elliott wave count. 

The SPX could be forming an Elliott wave – Inverse Expanding Flat correction.  In this pattern the third wave – ( c ) terminates just beyond the first wave ( a ).

The resistance zone is from 6,745 to 6,750.  The lower boundary is a Fibonacci .618 retracement of the entire 10/09/25 decline. The upper boundary is a Fibonacci .618 retracement of the presumed Minute wave [ i ].

If early in the 10/10/25 trading session IXIC makes an all-time high unconfirmed by the SPX and DJI an important peak could be formed.

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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