Mixed Signals – Part – Two

Trading of U.S. stocks on 10/17/24 was almost the opposite of what happened on 10/15/24.  Today 10/17/24 the Russell 2000 (RUT) ended the session down while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) ended up on the day.  S&P 500 (SPX) was marginally down.

On 10/15/24 the RUT was up on the day while all three main U.S. stock indices ended their sessions down. 

The one – hour RUT chart courtesy of Trading View shows its Intraday Elliott wave count.

This websites prior blog noted  

“ If RUT continues to rally and does not close the session below the rising trendline it could put the EDT pattern in doubt.”

Just after the start of the 10/17/24 session RUT declined and ended the session below the rising trendline.  This action increases the chances that the Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal is  complete.  If so RUT could be in the early part of a sharp decline to the area of the 08/05/24 bottom.

On the Bullish side of the coin.  DJI and SPX made new all-time highs invalidating a bearish “Rule of the majority” signal made on 10/15/24 when only the DJI made a new all-time high.

The invalidation of this signal is in the short-term bullish and implies at least one of the three main U.S. stock indices could soon make another new all-time high.

At the close of the 10/17/24 session the DJI was the closest to making a new high.  Watch the action of DJI and SPX on 10/18/24, if only one of these indices makes a new all-time high it could be an important bearish signal.

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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