Possible Counter  Trend Peak for U.S. Stocks – 08/30/23

The Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) declined from 07/19/23 to 08/18/23.  On 08/30/23 the IXIC and the other two main U.S. stock indices may have made  tops  in a developing bear trend.

The 08/26/23 blog “Nasdaq Composite Elliott Wave Count – 08/25/23” illustrated a potential resistance zone from 13,900 to 13,980.

The IXIC – two-hour chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened. 

The IXIC 08/30/23 high was 14,050 exceeding the Fibonacci .618 retracement of the 07/19/23 to 08/18/23 decline.  However, the top was very close to where a presumed wave “a” is equal to a presumed wave “c”.  This is a  common Fibonacci relationship in Elliott wave – Zigzag corrections.   

The daily Apple Inc. (AAPL)  chart illustrates its Elliott wave count from its 2023 high.

The 08/27/23 blog noted a resistance zone of  185 to 189 and further stated “If AAPL reaches the broad resistance zone with daily Stochastic in the overbought zone it could signal a counter trend peak.” 

Daily Stochastic has reached the overbought zone above 80% and the AAPL 08/30/23 high was 187.85,  just below a Fibonacci .618 retracement of its 07/19/23 to 08/18/23 decline.

September to October is  seasonally bearish for stocks.

Sometimes markets will turn plus or minus two trading days from New/Full moons.  08/31/23 is a Full moon.   

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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