The 08/17/25 blog “Lunar Time Cycle in 1987 and 2025” noted a major U.S. stock peak could come in the time zone of 08/21/25 to 08/26/25. This is still possible; however, there’s also a larger seasonal pattern of a potential major peak any day in August. Today 08/19/25 could be that day.
Since March of 2000 there have been two main characteristics of almost all major U.S. stock market peaks.
An S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high occurring with a VIX higher bottom. On 08/15/25 the SPX reached an all-time high with the VIX at a higher bottom vs. its low made on 08/13/25.
The other characteristic is when only one of the main U.S. stock indices, SPX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) makes an all-time high unconfirmed by the other two main stock indices.
The daily SPX, DJI, and IXIC chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates their relationship.
On 08/19/25 the DJI made a marginal new all-time high unconfirmed by SPX and IXIC.
A major U.S. stock market peak could be in place.
Four Dimension Trading 