Russell 2000 – Impulse Down – Part Two

The 10/24/24 blog “Russell 2000 – Impulse Down” illustrated that the Russell 2000 (RUT) could rally into a target zone between 2,235 and 2,255.  The 5 – minute RUT chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened.

The rally after the 10/23/24 bottom is a clear Elliott wave – Single Zigzag pattern which is presumably correcting the extended five wave decline from the 10/16/24 peak.   

The RUT high on 10/25/24 was at 2,236 just inside the target zone and a 46% retracement of the prior five wave decline.  This is shallow for a presumed wave “two” retracement which typically retrace about 61% of a  post primary peak decline.

Also, after the 10/25/24 peak  another five-wave decline appears to be developing.

If Minute wave [ii] is complete the shallow retracement is signaling a rapid and sharp decline could be developing.

How rapid and sharp?  The one – hour RUT chart illustrates what could happen.

The 10/24/24 blog illustrated that an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT)  probably completed at the 10/16/24 top.   After completion of an EDT there’s usually a rapid retracement back to the EDT point of origin.  In this case the 08/05/24 bottom. 

The week of 10/28/24 to 11/01/24 could be very bearish for Russell 2000.

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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