Quality Divergence

On 06/13/24 the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the S&P 500 (SPX) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI).   A  bearish “Rule of the Majority” signal.  This signal may not last very long because by the end of the 06/13/24 main session both indices were only slightly below their new all-time highs.

The more fascinating relationship is between IXIC and DJI.  The one – hour IXIC and DJI chart courtesy of Trading View shows what’s been happening.

The thirty DJI stocks are considered the highest quality stocks – the bluest of the blue chips, yet they are lagging.   The 06/12/24 blog “The Incredible Shrinking U.S. Stock Market” illustrated the shocking bearish divergence between the IXIC and Nasdaq Composite – 52 – week highs.

The DJI and IXIC divergence shows a widespread and potentially growing bear market.  For the moment a small group of stocks primarily in the Technology area are pushing the SPX and IXIC higher. 

All bull trends eventually end,  and typically hurt those with a myopic view.

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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