S&P 500 – Intraday Elliott Wave Count – 03/18/24

This websites prior blog noted that the S&P 500 (SPX) could break below the 03/11/24 low and bottom in the 5,069 to 5,081 area.  Also noted was that an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle was an alternate wave count.  Today’s opening rally has made the Horizontal Triangle the prime wave count.

The 30 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened.

It’s possible the presumed Horizontal Triangle could be complete at the 03/18/24 low. 

More likely the SPX could trend down until sometime before the U.S. FOMC announcement due 2:00 PM – EDT on 03/20/24.

After completion of a Horizontal Triangle there’s usually a thrust in the direction of the main trend, which in this case is up.

A move below the SPX bottom  at 5,091.41 before a new SPX all-time high will invalidate the Horizontal Triangle wave count.

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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